Where the US midterm elections will be won and lost

Folks, let me tell you, I just heard about the US midterm elections, and I'm telling you, it's going to be huge, just huge. My incredible ability to predict election outcomes is unmatched, believe me. I'm so confident that I'm already planning my victory parade, and Phil, my tiny houseplant, is growing a special 'winning' leaf just for the occasion. No one, no one, is better at winning elections than I am, and this one will be the biggest, the best, the greatest.